Alert For Farmers in Tamilnadu & Kerala ...!!!
Cyclonic Circulation Prevails off Indonesian Coast Near Equatorial waters will intensify in to Low Pressure Area in another 24/48 Hrs and it will move towards Srilanka. As WWB Support This System May get intensified a bit to WML/D.We can confirm as the system intensification & Rain Possibilities once the LPA takes a Shape in Bay. A detailed Explanation Given Below ->
Today 26.01.2023 Weather Inference - Image Credits Windy |
As Mentioned in our Last Week Post Our Main Hero MJO (Madden–Julian oscillation) is entered in our Bay of Bengal P2 and it will move towards P3 Meanwhile the MJO is behaving with Stronger Amplitude in Northern Indian ocean as we can see some circulation may trig near Indonesian coast as our Rainy Days will be back in Srilanka #Tamilnadu & #Kerala.Refer the Below Image About the MJO Progression and its Amptitude.
First Image Represents the Progression and Amptitude wise.Image Credits Dr.MJVentrice
Image Courtesy - Dr.MJ Ventrice Webp |
As the MJO KELVIN & ER Waves Seen at present in Bay of Bengal & Near Indonesian Coast As it Trigs Multiple Porticoes in Bay West Pacific & Southern Hemisphere.At present Ascending Limp of MJO is not Favourable over Bay which is not favouring Rains in Southern Peninsula.And We can say its an Climatology too.As ITCZ is in Southern Hemisphere too is the another Reason.
Image Courtesy - Dr.MJ Ventrice Webpage |
As The CC in Bay will Become LPA in another 24/48 Hrs which will move West/North Towards Srilanka. There is the Chances to Intensify in to WML/D Before reaching to Lankan Land.Will be know the Track in next 24/32 hrs as well.There is the Heavy/Very Heavy Rain Alert for #Srilanka. Heavy Rain Alert for Delta & South #Tamilnadu As well.North TN & Interiors need to wait for the further movement & WD interaction in real time to know the quantum of rainfall.As of now North TN coastal including #Chennai #KTCC may get Light / Isolated Moderate rains on 28/3rd February.Its my Initial Forecast and will update further once the System moves close to the land.
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