ஏரின் உழாஅர் உழவர் புயல்என்னும்
வாரி வளங்குன்றிக் கால்.
மழை என்னும் வருவாய் வளம் குன்றி விட்டால், ( உணவுப் பொருள்களை உண்டாக்கும்) உழவரும் ஏர் கொண்டு உழமாட்டார்.மழை என்னும் வருவாய் தன் வளத்தில் குறைந்தால், உழவர் ஏரால் உழவு செய்யமாட்டார்.
வான்நின்று உலகம் வழங்கி வருதலால்
தான்அமிழ்தம் என்றுணரற் பாற்று.
உரிய காலத்தில் இடைவிடாது மழை பெய்வதால்தான் உலகம் நிலைபெற்று வருகிறது; அதனால் மழையே அமிழ்தம் எனலாம்.
The world its course maintains through life that rain unfailing gives; Thus rain is known the true ambrosial food of all that lives
ஏரின் உழாஅர் உழவர் புயல்என்னும்
வாரி வளங்குன்றிக் கால்.
As on Today the ITCZ is descended down to Southern Hemisphere close to Equatorial Waters.This indicates the Monsoon Arrival in Australia & Madagascar (Mozambique Channel) Zimbabwe.As ITCZ Descends We can Expect more Tropical Activities may limited to low Latitude which Favours mostly Delta,South TN & South Kerala mostly.Upcoming MJO mostly will be utilised by Southern Hemisphere as ITCZ as descended.
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AS North East Monsoon 2022 Ends around 12th January 2023 & still January Trails Deficit in Tamilnadu as -96% as on today.Received 0.4MM against Normal 9.5MM as on 17.01.2023.
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Data Credits - IMD |
A long Dry Period is going to End from 20th January As MJO already progressed in Indian Ocean Already.As the way P2, P3 & P4 it will move further from Next Week up to February Mid.Influence of this MJO & Equatorial Rossby Wave Combination Bay of Bengal & Southern Hemisphere (Madagascar, Australia) Will get more Tropical Activity in the said period.As MJO Moving in to P2 The winter in Southern Peninsula Mostly will take a break as Moist Easterly winds will influence the Temperature under check.
The Picture Clearly Illustrates How the Numeric Models are expecting upcoming Moist Easterly Winds Vs Western Disturbance collision may happen & Results in Rain Activity up to month end,Weather Models Expecting frequent Western Disturbance with low Latitude Dip up to mid of February. Meanwhile The upcoming Disturbances in Bay will bring the continuous Moist Easterly Winds towards Tamilnadu will result a Rain Activity up to second week of February.Rains Probably will returns 21/22 from Delta & South TN.Later after 25th North TN including Chennai KTCC will join as well.
Numerical Weather Models Showing the Continuous Systems towards Srilanka & Tamilnadu in January Last week & February First week.Attached the Expected Rainfall Quantum by Ensembles as well for the Reference.We need to observe further to watch how the clash between Western Disturbance & Moist Easterly winds going to happen at what axis and where that will decide the Rainfall Episode & Quantum.Since its a Long term Forecast and we may confirm before 20th as the event nears.
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Requesting Farmers to finish Your Harvest Plans on or before 23rd of January in Tamilnadu & Kerala |
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