#Mandous புயல் உருவாகுமா? டெல்டா தென்தமிழகம் கொங்கு பகுதிகளில் இன்று கனமழை எச்சரிக்கை #cyclone #mandous

A Cyclonic Circulation is now located in-between Malay and Indonesian coast which will bring near Andaman sea in next 24 hrs.Right now there is a good Support of Westerly Burst and Easterly influencing the system to get in a good shape.Possibly it will become a Low Pressure Areas by tomorrow.

As per models conses the system will go rapid intensification in to WML by 6th & Depression/Deep Depression in next 48hrs. Subsequently the system will move towards NW of Srilanka and it may concentrate in to Named Cyclonic storm as MJO will be coming in to IO.

As the Moderate Dry air intrusion near the coast may take the system to lose intensity and that why the models hints about stalling scenario.There is NW/NNW movement is expected it to reach near Cuddalore/Pondy Stretch to get a landfall as D/DD.

At Present W, NW/NNW quadrant Rainbands looks so impressive and this system will enhance the overall good rainfilled system and influenced Easterly Wave+Good Vorticity over the coast.Geavy Rains expected all the way from Nellore to Nagai Coast as the sytem nears.

Wind Damage is to be considered as the system nears and we need to be more vigil.A Clear Picture about Expected Percipitation and wind speed will update in next day or two.

Today Rainfall Estimate - Kerala

Todays Rainfall Estimat - Tamilnadu

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