Meme - Imaage Credits Vignesh
98B LPA Lies in Equatorial Waters at 4.2°N 91.9°EDue to Another Circulation in SH is Strengthening and Equatorial Effect the system moving very slow. And Dual Vorticity's may happen due to broad circulation which is been confusion prevails among the weather models in percip agreement. Expecting WD arrival & Sri Lankan Land mass is going to be a toss once again. we need to wait for another 48 hrs to conclude about Percip.
Remnant of CycloneMandus Weaken in to D in Arabian sea & will weaken further and dissipate in another 48 hrs.
Descending ITCZ & Getting Active Southern Hemisphere system is also a reason.Due to Strengthening Southern Hemisphere system & Equatorial waters not giving WWB support to BOB System which is the main Reason the BOB System is not intensified and not gaining latitude.The LPA Become Broad Circulation with Multiple voracity expected as models and slow in movement and Western Disturbance Arrival is going to be the Key in further days to estimate the Precipitation higher than the present Model Run.Real time observation is the main key to get the exact answer.
Todays Rainfall Estimate - Tamilnadu ,Andhra Kerala - Nil